Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $2.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Eagles 40% · Commanders 60% | $3.3M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 31% · IA, KS 10% · MI 1% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 72% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.2M |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | Commanders 35% · Eagles 66% | $757k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $754k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | $42.88 |
| LeechLord | Yes | $30.50 |
| makeit99 | Yes | $21.24 |
| ddd141 | Yes | $16.90 |
| brra | Yes | $12 |
| quine-zyx | Yes | $2.25 |
| 0xc6fd… | Yes | $1.71 |
| 0x3b79… | Yes | $1.46 |
| 0x28a6… | Yes | $1.36 |
| mood26 | Yes | $0.67 |
| WunnaWun | No | −$54.60 |
| brra | No | −$50 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $131; the 8 biggest losers gave up $172. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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