No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 81¢). Volume $12k, liquidity $1.1k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 52% · 16-19 18% · <12 9% | $2k |
| Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $519.29 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $388.36 |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $327.15 |
| How many SpaceX launches in November 2026? | <13 84% · 13 18% · 16+ 12% | $275 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $236 |
| Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $235.77 |
| How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 140-159 70% · 120-139 28% · 180-199 6% | $217.44 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xd0f8…6b50 | Yes | 2k |
| GARY2HOU | Yes | 739 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 278 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 272 |
| PolyJaguar | Yes | 125 |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 105 |
| 0x6b0ebb | Yes | 101 |
| weatherprod | Yes | 60 |
| 0xc2d6…8727 | Yes | 60 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 54 |
| 0xb217…9799 | No | 4k |
| alpheclabs | No | 227 |
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