What are the odds for “Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?” on Polymarket?

No 99% · Yes 1%, on $8.0k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $8.0k, liquidity $752. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$8.0k
Liquidity
$752

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

More Geopolitics markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No 100% · Yes 0% · 24h volume $185k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 89% · Yes 12% · 24h volume $151k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 99% · No 1% · 24h volume $144k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 95% · Yes 6% · 24h volume $144k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 93% · No 7% · 24h volume $125k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 98% · No 2% · 24h volume $87k

FAQ

What are the odds for “Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $8.0k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?

live

Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.2%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes 0% · No 100%	$185k	$80k	-0.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$151k	$328k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$144k	$51k	1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$144k	$486k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 93% · No 7%	$125k	$63k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$87k	$52k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 9% · No 92%	$85k	$50k	-1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$68k	$41k	0.4%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesask 1.7¢mid 1.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1.7¢100

15¢21

15¢300

17¢100

60¢50

74¢100

74¢20

75¢398

75¢255

93¢9

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
WarriorPooh	Yes	1k	5¢	$62.72	$177k
Perypery	Yes	505	1¢	$4.01	$47k
LornaPredicts	Yes	418			$15k
GuyFromTinder	Yes	100	13¢	$13	−$99k
simool	Yes	100	5¢	$5	−$102.03
a5533	Yes	60			−$9k
.Menthe	Yes	50			$4k
0xf94d12	Yes	50			−$912.23
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	45			$193k
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	30			$7k
kinderSman	No	1k	99¢	$1k	$158k
kukubaja	No	1k	96¢	$933.46	$67k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$16k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$8k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$4k