Percival won. Smart money backed Zoun (1 ranked wallet, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $1.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 12% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 57% · Pistons 43% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $787k |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 16% · Celtics 85% | $780k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 64% · Wizards 36% | $664k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| g9v31eM4mh | Percival | $16.28 |
| BkndUS1rdsrL | Percival | $16.04 |
| K5DweHIGHG | Percival | $12.96 |
| 0x886e… | Percival | $9.72 |
| s6Gq1lPYgcxj | Percival | $4.24 |
| SbhzGBAOsbvgj | Percival | $4.04 |
| mJqCMLZipL | Percival | $3.84 |
| 0xa1ce… | Percival | $3.04 |
| VC7TMVHhEB | Percival | $1.76 |
| QnHqMnps4C | Percival | $0.92 |
| WisHGemini | Percival | $0.73 |
| qFkEZZdyYtB | Zoun | −$19.88 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $74; the 6 biggest losers gave up $76. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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