Yes 72% · No 28%. Volume $1.6M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
1,779 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $46k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $63k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | Yes 91% · No 9% | $119k |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $119k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $65k |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $54k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $48k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 1? | 18°C 99% · 19°C 4% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 1? | 14°C 50% · 13°C 40% · 12°C 6% | $20k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 34% · No 66% | $19k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| George.Smiley | Yes | $5k |
| Banker. | Yes | $4k |
| AdamP13031988 | Yes | $3k |
| whig | Yes | $2k |
| Newshound | Yes | $2k |
| iutwpfal | Yes | $2k |
| udontknowanything | Yes | $2k |
| Judkins | Yes | $2k |
| theta-thunberg | Yes | $1k |
| PepsiWarrior | Yes | $1k |
| MaxShorter | Yes | $1k |
| Divina-Intuitio | Yes | $1k |