No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $7.2M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
kevtp took +$50k on No from 99¢; the biggest loser gave up $10k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $86k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kevtp | No | $50k |
| hymolu | No | $31k |
| zxdw | No | $19k |
| pmwinner | No | $14k |
| 20anniv | No | $5k |
| ochoooo | No | $5k |
| lemondechico07 | No | $4k |
| feldupp | No | $4k |
| Avamax | No | $4k |
| kayzennn | No | $4k |
| thelastdanceee | No | $3k |
| labonnemethode | No | $3k |
812 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $179k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $35k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.