No 91% · Yes 10%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢). Volume $8.1k, liquidity $24k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
3 ranked wallets bought Yes at 11¢. It’s 10¢ now — −12% on paper.
Track all 3 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $186k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $136k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 74% · No 27% | $118k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $91k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $87k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $83k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 81% | $81k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 86% · No 15% | $76k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cucumber. | Yes | 4k |
| badatthis | Yes | 700 |
| 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | 542 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 363 |
| 881112 | Yes | 100 |
| EmethN1l2367 | Yes | 50 |
| fastandfudurious | Yes | 0 |
| 0x5123…2f31 | Yes | 0 |
| 0x894e…bcd8 | No | 4k |
| Russel23 | No | 933 |
| retro.w | No | 577 |
| 0x0c2c…dce3 | No | 23 |
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