No 71% · Yes 30%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 80¢). Volume $8.1k, liquidity $688. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 ranked wallets bought No at 80¢. It’s 71¢ now — −12% on paper.
Track all 12 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $584k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 87% · No 14% | $215k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $157k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $128k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $86k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $84k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $79k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $65k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ManipulationOfRisk | Yes | 916 |
| 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | 268 |
| Dorgrovich | Yes | 249 |
| Avitz33 | Yes | 179 |
| goask | Yes | 120 |
| Relaccsed | Yes | 83 |
| bwlthdnakr | Yes | 70 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Yes | 60 |
| alwayswinneverlose | Yes | 43 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 20 |
| Wowiwow | No | 851 |
| willsom | No | 442 |
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