No 95% · Yes 5%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 7¢). Volume $22k, liquidity $12k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $250k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $231k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 79% · No 22% | $225k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $174k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $141k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $135k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $119k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 82% · No 19% | $117k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 2k |
| 0x5986…83e3 | Yes | 200 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 191 |
| Zero10 | Yes | 146 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 100 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 95 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 80 |
| 5atka | Yes | 66 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 40 |
| 0xb65102 | Yes | 30 |
| archaic | No | 2k |
| Zarshka | No | 260 |
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