No 90% · Yes 10%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 86¢). Volume $4.9k, liquidity $866. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $250k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $232k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $226k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $174k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $137k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 82% · No 19% | $117k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $110k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lbr9 | Yes | 724 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 185 |
| Perypery | Yes | 132 |
| 0xd717…07c6 | Yes | 83 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 33 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| avverti | Yes | 20 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 15 |
| ashokking | Yes | 11 |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 973 |
| Wowiwow | No | 100 |
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