Alik Lorenz won. Smart money backed Mahamed Aly (7 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $56k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 78% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.2M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 7% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 5% | $3.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 79% · Republican Party 22% | $2.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $988k |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 35% · No 65% | $987k |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $618k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Alik Lorenz | $472.26 |
| 0xfd74… | Alik Lorenz | $423.83 |
| Couch.Gambler | Alik Lorenz | $213.36 |
| Youngtradoss | Alik Lorenz | $169.10 |
| chao9152 | Alik Lorenz | $153.95 |
| boukrtemlakhdar | Alik Lorenz | $151.70 |
| zcc19970101 | Alik Lorenz | $136.42 |
| STC14 | Alik Lorenz | $124.32 |
| Heels | Alik Lorenz | $113.91 |
| black-marduk | Alik Lorenz | $99.13 |
| forecastication4 | Alik Lorenz | $29.86 |
| 1234455 | Alik Lorenz | $26.53 |
125 wallets held a position at the close. The 44 biggest winners took $2.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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