No 73% · Yes 27%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 62¢). Volume $1.6k, liquidity $29k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $686k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $249k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $201k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $199k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $167k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $161k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Haradwaith | Yes | 327 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 48 |
| feintears | Yes | 31 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 23 |
| 0xf768d6 | Yes | 22 |
| isayli | Yes | 16 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 7 |
| 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | 3 |
| PPMT | Yes | 3 |
| smarterstrat | Yes | 0 |
| Eia | No | 436 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
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