No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $240k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 97% | $289k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $206k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $164k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $124k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $109k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 28% · No 73% | $106k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $93k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $83k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| shingoWAKAYAMA | No | $5k |
| stavr | No | $2k |
| Natstar777 | No | $2k |
| Outsmarter | No | $1k |
| Madsolbro | No | $1k |
| Levi567 | No | $1k |
| i.love.Frieren | No | $977.95 |
| Cattail | No | $890.38 |
| TralaleloTralalala | No | $867.69 |
| byteA | No | $624.86 |
| MikeMoore | No | $569.12 |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | $518.85 |
471 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $23k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $18k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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