No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 44¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $774k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $243k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $232k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $232k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $214k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $210k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $193k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $191k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sameday1 | Yes | 59k |
| makinta | Yes | 30k |
| Brokie | Yes | 20k |
| Wickier | Yes | 18k |
| MaxiChibrax | Yes | 15k |
| honeytoastlittlespoon - 23991 | Yes | 10k |
| 0xee6712 | Yes | 9k |
| MorganTorbians | Yes | 5k |
| de5nuts | Yes | 5k |
| DonT47 | Yes | 4k |
| potatWnis | No | 1 |
| elpatrondelaciudad | No | 0 |
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