No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
15 ranked wallets bought Yes at 5¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 15 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | Yes | 97k |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | 41k |
| mzandres | Yes | 34k |
| wan123 | Yes | 13k |
| oz.gg | Yes | 11k |
| 7153649820 | Yes | 10k |
| troim | Yes | 7k |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 4k |
| 0x8260…a14b | Yes | 1k |
| Shaykeshet1993 | Yes | 1k |
| 170396 | No | 31 |
| 0x0454…0b4f | No | 5 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.