What are the odds for “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?

No 88% · Yes 13%, on $3.6M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?”?

Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

No 88% · Yes 13%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢). Volume $3.6M, liquidity $239k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
88%
Yes
13%
Volume
$3.6M
Liquidity
$239k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

10 wallets · 94,414 known shares

armads
entry 46¢ · P&L $42k · win 57%
tryingmyluckherewhale
entry 32¢ · P&L $159k · win 40%
0x4346…b9eesharp
entry 12¢ · P&L $3.5k · win 100%
Quantollah
entry 10¢ · P&L $9.0k · win 64%
Nz2027
entry 29¢ · P&L $21k · win 63%
BetZilla
entry — · P&L $14k · win 47%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 88% · Yes 13%, on $3.6M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?”?: Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

live

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

12.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 48% · Gadi Eizenkot 38% · Naftali Bennett 6%	$14.4M	$1.4M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$290k	$175k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$170k	$100k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$144k	$167k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$125k	$84k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$120k	$50k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$77k	$304k
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$77k	$32k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction