Who is the smart money on “U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Volume $203k, liquidity $17k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$203k
Liquidity
$17k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No1k96%
Yes454%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 79% · No 21%	$1.1M	$102k	-16.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$563k	$252k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$380k	$11k	-43.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 39% · No 61%	$222k	$149k	-3.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$206k	$474k	-0.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$141k	$49k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$136k	$21k	-45.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$126k	$454k	0%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 2.1¢ask 4.9¢spread 2.8¢mid 3.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

402.1¢

4.9¢138

302¢

5.4¢85

71.8¢

5.5¢1.0k

221.7¢

7¢1.0k

1741.6¢

8¢360

5.1k1.5¢

8.5¢100

101.1¢

8.9¢33

61¢

9¢100

580.7¢

15¢53

3250.6¢

15¢2.5k

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
GGOGOGOG	Yes	17k	15¢	$3k	−$12k
0x14bf…a362	Yes	1k	7¢	$95	−$300.02
tsarr	Yes	1k	7¢	$100	−$544.18
0x49e3c3	Yes	509	15¢	$76.61	−$49.75
0x2f61…a33b	Yes	403	20¢	$81.00	$959.69
0xe5b4a7	Yes	263	19¢	$50.00	$1k
Properbeast	Yes	213	5¢	$10	−$543.33
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	195			$173k
Edje25	Yes	150			$14k
kevinfcb	Yes	122	8¢	$10	−$67.94
DFK	No	7k	96¢	$527.72	$47k
elmcap2	No	6k			$2.3M

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$34k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$25k
3US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$24k
4US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?$11k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$3k
6Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$1k
8US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 45 known shares

IamBatman
entry 7¢ · all-time +$479 · win —

No

2 wallets · 1,131 known shares

57284910
entry 97¢ · all-time +$3.1k · win 91%
0xaf05…33e2
entry 90¢ · all-time +$1.2k · win 92%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $203k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Volume $203k, liquidity $17k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$203k
Liquidity
$17k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

live

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No1k96%
Yes454%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 79% · No 21%	$1.1M	$102k	-16.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$563k	$252k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$380k	$11k	-43.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 39% · No 61%	$222k	$149k	-3.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$206k	$474k	-0.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$141k	$49k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$136k	$21k	-45.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$126k	$454k	0%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 2.1¢ask 4.9¢spread 2.8¢mid 3.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

402.1¢

4.9¢138

302¢

5.4¢85

71.8¢

5.5¢1.0k

221.7¢

7¢1.0k

1741.6¢

8¢360

5.1k1.5¢

8.5¢100

101.1¢

8.9¢33

61¢

9¢100

580.7¢

15¢53

3250.6¢

15¢2.5k

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
GGOGOGOG	Yes	17k	15¢	$3k	−$12k
0x14bf…a362	Yes	1k	7¢	$95	−$300.02
tsarr	Yes	1k	7¢	$100	−$544.18
0x49e3c3	Yes	509	15¢	$76.61	−$49.75
0x2f61…a33b	Yes	403	20¢	$81.00	$959.69
0xe5b4a7	Yes	263	19¢	$50.00	$1k
Properbeast	Yes	213	5¢	$10	−$543.33
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	195			$173k
Edje25	Yes	150			$14k
kevinfcb	Yes	122	8¢	$10	−$67.94
DFK	No	7k	96¢	$527.72	$47k
elmcap2	No	6k			$2.3M

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$34k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$25k
3US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$24k
4US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?$11k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$3k
6Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$1k
8US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 45 known shares

IamBatman
entry 7¢ · all-time +$479 · win —

No

2 wallets · 1,131 known shares

57284910
entry 97¢ · all-time +$3.1k · win 91%
0xaf05…33e2
entry 90¢ · all-time +$1.2k · win 92%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $203k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.