No 65% · Yes 35%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢). Volume $83k, liquidity $30k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $689k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $233k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $188k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $181k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $177k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| melonmanm | Yes | 422 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 272 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 202 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 155 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 99 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 87 |
| 0xb9d1…6de5 | Yes | 43 |
| timmolu | Yes | 42 |
| alebale | Yes | 40 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 10 |
| 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d | No | 665 |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 243 |
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