Yes won. Smart money backed No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $2.0M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
ToTheWindow took +$2.5k on Yes from 93¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.2k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $676k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 45% | $267k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $182k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $164k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $82k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ToTheWindow | Yes | $2k |
| 0xc627… | No | $1k |
| Astera | Yes | $791.96 |
| camscot | Yes | $637.47 |
| moonlight2020 | Yes | $490 |
| browne | Yes | $390.02 |
| TronOG | Yes | $360.50 |
| Neon-Gargoyle | Yes | $284.27 |
| wubddh | Yes | $269.47 |
| Luna2002 | Yes | $236.14 |
| 0xf2b0… | Yes | $217.44 |
| Venko1100 | Yes | $202.04 |
422 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $10k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.