No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
22 ranked wallets bought Yes at 20¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 22 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $644k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $153k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $85k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gabruraja | Yes | 42k |
| 0x7021b75c27835935a40308779b5656c09ab40f2 | Yes | 38k |
| anoin123 | Yes | 32k |
| frozenriver | Yes | 20k |
| generalVR | Yes | 17k |
| tetrose | Yes | 14k |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | 12k |
| LiLaoShi2 | Yes | 5k |
| miracle | Yes | 3k |
| wan123 | Yes | 3k |
| 0x756a20 | No | 11 |
| 0xa91e99 | No | 0 |
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