No won. Smart money backed Yes (13 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢) and lost. Volume $2.6M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
yuhyuhyuhy352352 took +$11k on No from 48¢; the biggest loser gave up $17k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $659k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $252k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $184k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $158k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $82k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $71k |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | No | $11k |
| jimbobianthethird | No | $5k |
| tnl | No | $4k |
| BlasTesla | No | $3k |
| thebloodangel | No | $3k |
| bullishkirby | No | $3k |
| mohahaha | No | $3k |
| Myway | No | $2k |
| 0x3b44… | No | $2k |
| misko1 | No | $2k |
| Phantom69 | No | $1k |
| Sakura-Kinomoto | No | $1k |
1,064 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $55k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $36k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.