No won. Volume $330k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
bullishkirby took +$2.1k on No from 88¢; the biggest loser gave up $747.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $620k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $79k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $69k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| bullishkirby | No | $2k |
| HornyBibi | No | $2k |
| 23449 | Yes | $1k |
| KriteriTraderJoe | Yes | $640.40 |
| PartizanVillage | No | $458.10 |
| notssf3 | No | $290.33 |
| sqaolkytrpo | No | $272.17 |
| garlictrump | No | $203.81 |
| leCommissaire | Yes | $119.35 |
| CDReves | No | $103.75 |
| 0x4e3d… | No | $95.59 |
| hitunfar | No | $72.34 |
277 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.1k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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