Yes 83% · No 18%. Smart money leans No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢). Volume $19k, liquidity $40k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
16 ranked wallets bought No at 15¢. It’s 18¢ now — +13% on paper.
Track all 16 wallets ↗| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | Yes |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $208k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $207k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 59% · No 42% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 15% · No 86% | $122k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 31% · No 69% | $88k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $80k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 34% · No 66% | $63k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $63k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rainbowlilies | Yes | 6k |
| pykue | Yes | 2k |
| lissartter | Yes | 414 |
| Parz1vaI | Yes | 103 |
| spxtest | Yes | 31 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 22 |
| 0xb2e82c | Yes | 0 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 0 |
| MEPP | No | 3k |
| garlictrump | No | 1k |
| Te0n2 | No | 1k |
| 881112 | No | 799 |
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