No 59% · Yes 42%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). Volume $16k, liquidity $40k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
2 ranked wallets bought Yes at 40¢. It’s 42¢ now — +5% on paper.
Track all 2 wallets ↗| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? | SELL | No |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? | BUY | No |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? | SELL | No |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $208k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $207k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 59% · No 42% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 15% · No 86% | $122k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 32% · No 69% | $88k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $80k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 34% · No 66% | $63k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $63k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 881112 | Yes | 2k |
| notimeforcaution | Yes | 2k |
| StevAplaty | Yes | 30 |
| 0xec5c…06da | Yes | 15 |
| MatGuu | Yes | 12 |
| 0x2c55…7a7f | Yes | 0 |
| Wxc-2026 | Yes | 0 |
| OmeadAzadeh | Yes | 0 |
| DerDon | No | 1k |
| AiBird | No | 564 |
| balabalababalabala | No | 504 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 400 |
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