Yes 64% · No 37%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 59¢). Volume $12k, liquidity $41k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
3 ranked wallets bought Yes at 59¢. It’s 64¢ now — +8% on paper.
Track all 3 wallets ↗| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? | BUY | No |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? | SELL | No |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? | BUY | No |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $208k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $207k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 59% · No 42% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 15% · No 86% | $122k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 31% · No 69% | $88k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $80k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 34% · No 66% | $63k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $63k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lissartter | Yes | 405 |
| notimeforcaution | Yes | 257 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 82 |
| SulkingCrypto | Yes | 48 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 44 |
| StevAplaty | Yes | 30 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 23 |
| kry67 | Yes | 20 |
| smarterstrat | Yes | 20 |
| verybadtrader | Yes | 14 |
| AiBird | No | 271 |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 200 |
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