Yes 97% · No 3%. Smart money leans Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 93¢). Volume $72k, liquidity $22k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $689k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $232k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $188k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $186k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $181k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $155k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| classified | Yes | 20k |
| laureman | Yes | 4k |
| justme003 | Yes | 3k |
| Lolakis | Yes | 3k |
| 881112 | Yes | 2k |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 2k |
| 0xf2b0…b26b | Yes | 2k |
| Arman2 | Yes | 2k |
| tr1000 | Yes | 1k |
| AlfaFire | Yes | 1k |
| Sofiamas | No | 34k |
| heypresto | No | 4k |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.