No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 34¢) and lost. Volume $4.3M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $662k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $214k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $209k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $203k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $164k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $153k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $148k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $131k |
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