No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
22 ranked wallets bought Yes at 1¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 22 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $642k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $146k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| change-world | Yes | 213k |
| grgrrrgrgrgrr | Yes | 152k |
| toxiev3 | Yes | 83k |
| GrayDay | Yes | 70k |
| 0x2585e7022dc2075a108204bIxc08cea8d13b60a | Yes | 53k |
| bamesjond | Yes | 46k |
| TwoTierKeir | Yes | 23k |
| 0xc6d78d | Yes | 17k |
| hughperson | Yes | 16k |
| nbabii | Yes | 12k |
| zzSleepzz | No | 25 |
| 0xdee126 | No | 17 |
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