Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $3.6M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $290k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $208k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $179k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $159k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $110k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $109k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | Yes 92% · No 8% | $84k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| smallf | Yes | $8k |
| jimbobianthethird | Yes | $3k |
| Revered | Yes | $3k |
| SKA1 | Yes | $3k |
| RadarMentions | Yes | $2k |
| freakmilk | Yes | $2k |
| Dotzy1 | Yes | $1k |
| Clicker1 | Yes | $1k |
| BloodyMummer | Yes | $1k |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes | $971.56 |
| ulty | Yes | $657.19 |
| bobe2.1 | Yes | $555.56 |
1,050 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $35k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $58k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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