No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 ranked wallets bought Yes at 4¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 12 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $644k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $153k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $85k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 99problems123 | Yes | 176k |
| 0xc435…bdfe | Yes | 107k |
| horiz0n | Yes | 103k |
| 0xcdbc…f38b | Yes | 52k |
| TOWERCAPITAL | Yes | 49k |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 35k |
| 0xdc00…2649 | Yes | 35k |
| Draffa | Yes | 25k |
| wan123 | Yes | 24k |
| AllByMyseIf | Yes | 15k |
| sgeddryhrfthyfrth | No | 20 |
| chngmnt | No | 10 |
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