What are the odds for “US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?” on Polymarket?

Yes 99% · No 2%, on $721k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?”?

Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 94¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?

Yes 99% · No 2%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 94¢). Volume $721k, liquidity $34k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

Yes
99%
No
2%
Volume
$721k
Liquidity
$34k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

8 wallets · 115,290 known shares

LulaVaiPerderwhale
entry 95¢ · P&L $317k · win 74%
M2sx92kljs42whale
entry 80¢ · P&L $63k · win 72%
ssm86-X2p9
entry 98¢ · P&L -$65k · win 55%
080526
entry 86¢ · P&L $689 · win 58%
0xce83…5b97
entry 82¢ · P&L $35k · win 79%
RdogTest
entry 86¢ · P&L $225 · win 62%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?” on Polymarket?: Yes 99% · No 2%, on $721k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?”?: Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 94¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?

live

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 50% · Gadi Eizenkot 35% · Naftali Bennett 6%	$14.7M	$1.4M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$279k	$177k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$145k	$87k
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$125k	$162k
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Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$77k	$32k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction