0x38f50488b14a87769e0c5cd6c514b6c2e8ec6824
smellyEllie on Polymarket: $111k total P&L, 53% win rate, 3,488 markets traded, $4.8M volume. Ranked #328 in Politics.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | $18k | 95¢ | 98¢ | $669.01 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | $10k | 99¢ | 99¢ | $19.69 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $12k | 50¢ | 81¢ | $4k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $18k | 22¢ | 16¢ | −$1k |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | $3k | 82¢ | 93¢ | $273.08 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $12k | 50¢ | 19¢ | −$4k |
| Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | No | $2k | 89¢ | 94¢ | $94.16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | $8k | 23¢ | 24¢ | $60.19 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026? | Yes | $2k | 89¢ | 97¢ | $162.65 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? | No | $2k | 76¢ | 84¢ | $168.17 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $2k | 85¢ | 81¢ | −$90 |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | Yes | $2k | 58¢ | 73¢ | $299.96 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $826k | 3.5% | 49.7% | $30.5M |
| dromedaryy | $662k | $672k | 8.1% | 41.5% | $11.2M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| e46m3 | $1.3M | $515k | 4.3% | 60.8% | $22.2M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| Lucerys | $459k | $382k | 2.9% | 58.7% | $9.5M |
| defillama7 | $613k | $321k | 9.4% | 62.3% | $5.8M |