No won. Volume $116k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
vozomnil took +$443 on No from 69¢; the biggest loser gave up $112.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $620k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $152k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $79k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $69k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| vozomnil | No | $443.04 |
| Mirotadze | No | $40.48 |
| 0x9631… | No | $34.05 |
| lukny1410 | No | $30.19 |
| Beubeu | No | $27.90 |
| sqaolkytrpo | No | $22.87 |
| mocapbear | No | $10.17 |
| Talophex | No | $10 |
| Frieren68 | No | $8.14 |
| Comatose | No | $7.37 |
| tshawrng | No | $5 |
| MaduroPeace | No | $4.98 |
72 wallets held a position at the close. The 26 biggest winners took $677; the 46 biggest losers gave up $636. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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