No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 ranked wallets bought Yes at 48¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 12 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $86k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x7021b75c27835935a40308779b5656c09ab40f2 | Yes | 165k |
| 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | 20k |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | 19k |
| 0x2585e7022dc2075a108204bIxc08cea8d13b60a | Yes | 15k |
| 0xtuna | Yes | 10k |
| NOTHINGSEVERFRICKINFAIRONHERE | Yes | 9k |
| 0x901996 | Yes | 5k |
| 881112 | Yes | 4k |
| Spirit-LT | Yes | 2k |
| Frontrunners | Yes | 2k |
| Lappa | No | 53 |
| 0x931fa5 | No | 9 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.