Yes won. Smart money backed No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $349k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Vanquish took +$3.2k on Yes from 91¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.7k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $620k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $152k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $79k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $69k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Vanquish | Yes | $3k |
| kl1v | Yes | $3k |
| 0x09d2… | Yes | $2k |
| skibabiba | Yes | $966 |
| 0x66ed… | Yes | $653.18 |
| Doomsday77 | Yes | $501.74 |
| third-eye | Yes | $402.96 |
| besofmyra | Yes | $345.99 |
| yenky | Yes | $335.52 |
| jinsun... | Yes | $281.68 |
| Ox4B7e1D3cA9825F0aC176bE29d830A54F12cD78a6 | Yes | $278 |
| jjijjk2235544 | Yes | $215.73 |
208 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $14k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.