Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?

Yes 100% · No 0%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 59¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Yes
100%
No
0%
Volume
$0
Liquidity
—

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

No

4 wallets · 694 known shares

linethwhale
entry 59¢ · all-time +$92k · win 48%
Folletinwhale
entry 16¢ · all-time +$77k · win 68%
0x2936…0a12
entry 0¢ · all-time −$201 · win 9%
0xa027…350b
entry 1¢ · all-time −$63 · win 12%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?” on Polymarket?: Yes 100% · No 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?”?: Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 59¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?

live

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No694100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$275k	$80k	-5.8%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$166k	$111k	4.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$123k	$653k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$325k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 28% · No 73%	$102k	$86k	-3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$97k	$53k	1.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$93k	$61k	2.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 43% · No 57%	$82k	$171k	0.7%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
0xa5ef39	No	4k	$0
Limek	No	1k	−$15.20
lineth	No	584	$92k
norealtime	No	284	$983.10
ACara	No	250	$43k
0xRocket666	No	200	$1k
0x347d77	No	115	$776.50
ImJustAGirl3	No	95	−$724.70
DaveDD	No	95	−$1k
Folletin	No	91	$77k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$44k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
4Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$5k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$7k
8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
9US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1k
10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2k