No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). Volume $66k, liquidity $2.5k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? | Yes 17% · No 83% | $914.29 |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? | Yes 36% · No 64% | $876.66 |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? | <5 69% · 5-6 26% · 9-10 1% | $674.38 |
| Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $426.90 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $411.72 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $388.36 |
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 56% · 16-19 19% · <12 9% | $367.13 |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? | Yes 21% · No 79% | $354.71 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x51de…9e4a | Yes | 2k |
| planktonXD | Yes | 2k |
| 0x553324 | Yes | 630 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 378 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 315 |
| ImSweating | Yes | 300 |
| Spiderman2026 | Yes | 121 |
| balthazar | Yes | 111 |
| 12lddd | Yes | 101 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 100 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 7k |
| 0x8931aa | No | 266 |
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