No 59% · Yes 42%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢). Volume $4.1k, liquidity $957. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 52% · 16-19 18% · <12 9% | $2k |
| Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? | Yes 82% · No 18% | $519.29 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $388.36 |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $327.15 |
| How many SpaceX launches in November 2026? | <13 84% · 16+ 12% · 15 12% | $275 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $236 |
| Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $235.77 |
| How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 140-159 70% · 120-139 29% · 180-199 5% | $217.44 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf5e4…471a | Yes | 487 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 334 |
| 0x4e84ce | Yes | 213 |
| legion | Yes | 81 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 80 |
| 0x6fdb1f | Yes | 40 |
| PMWolf | Yes | 33 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 22 |
| GonTanaka | Yes | 20 |
| youyizhiguangg | Yes | 20 |
| 0xf3ace7 | No | 512 |
| 1walrus | No | 481 |
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