No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢). Volume $62k, liquidity $14k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 80% · November 16–November 22 11% · November 2–November 8 9% | $22k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 55% · November 11 10% · November 9 8% | $14k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $11k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · Meta 1% | $11k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rewardbots | Yes | 7k |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 4k |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | 4k |
| vi. | Yes | 3k |
| smellyEllie | Yes | 2k |
| 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13 | Yes | 2k |
| donthackme | Yes | 1k |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 1k |
| molodoyy | Yes | 1k |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 927 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 26k |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 6k |
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