No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢). Volume $394k, liquidity $51k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Iran leader end of 2026? →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $778k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $273k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $231k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $220k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $204k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $184k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $168k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $164k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RHFGFD | Yes | 15k |
| 0x68331c | Yes | 14k |
| Eatpraylove | Yes | 5k |
| mrtrump | Yes | 2k |
| ClariseStarling007 | Yes | 2k |
| bn4euerfg211111 | Yes | 2k |
| 24t24t24t24444444 | Yes | 1k |
| magnus773 | Yes | 1k |
| Trtr2026 | Yes | 1k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 61k |
| Omobatahat | No | 91 |
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