No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
8 ranked wallets bought Yes at 2¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 8 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $584k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 87% · No 14% | $215k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $157k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $128k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $86k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $84k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $79k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $65k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Trollfarmer | Yes | 44k |
| 0x000e…7610 | Yes | 20k |
| 0xd512…79b3 | Yes | 13k |
| 0x2585e7022dc2075a108204bIxc08cea8d13b60a | Yes | 10k |
| anas10 | Yes | 7k |
| Alexandrus1337 | Yes | 5k |
| 0x7b64…707b | Yes | 5k |
| 0x2814…5596 | Yes | 5k |
| 0x28ce…1c02 | Yes | 4k |
| Shmuela | Yes | 3k |
| RedScorpion55 | No | 40 |
| vemelianenko | No | 30 |
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