What are the odds for “Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?” on Polymarket?

No 99% · Yes 1%, on $24k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?”?

Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢). Volume $24k, liquidity $6.8k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$24k
Liquidity
$6.8k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

4 wallets · 2,172 known shares

viniiwhale
entry — · all-time +$190k · win 58%
DancewithRisk
entry 1¢ · all-time +$48k · win 69%
Folletinwhale
entry 1¢ · all-time +$77k · win 68%
e46m3whale
entry — · all-time +$869k · win 61%

No

1 wallets · 30 known shares

GingerMcKenna
entry 99¢ · all-time +$42k · win 52%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $24k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?”?: Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?

live

Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.9%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes2k99%
No301%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 16%	$143k	$201k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 24% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 17%	$39k	$28k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$29k	$42k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 43%	$28k	$82k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$79k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$12k	$35k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$12k	$104k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$12k	$52k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.3¢ask 1.9¢spread 1.6¢mid 1.1¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1500.3¢

1.9¢1.4k

9440.2¢

2¢1.2k

4.8k0.1¢

4.8¢500

15¢30

15¢326

16¢158

16¢500

18¢60

18¢11

18¢50

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
fiter	Yes	2k	$53k
FortunaFelix	Yes	2k	−$2k
planktonXD	Yes	1k	$140k
vinii	Yes	1k	$190k
DancewithRisk	Yes	924	$48k
dontshowmyname	Yes	815	$46k
BBBBBB886	Yes	675	−$704.06
youtube-trader	Yes	555	−$5k
Jgddb	Yes	544	$201.60
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	520	$193k
0xa5ef39	No	14k	$0
GingerMcKenna	No	30	$42k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$6k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
4Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
5Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$953.61
6Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$913.84
7Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$891.89
8Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948
9Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$671.50