Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?

No 95% · Yes 5%. Volume $1.0k, liquidity $11k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
95%
Yes
5%
Volume
$1.0k
Liquidity
$11k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 21 known shares

Started-with-20-USDwhale
entry — · all-time +$61k · win 59%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 95% · Yes 5%, on $1.0k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?

live

Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

95%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes21100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$227k	$83k	-7.3%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$153k	$91k	4.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$130k	$649k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$331k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$93k	$43k	1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$83k	$324k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 26% · No 75%	$77k	$89k	-5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$183k	-0.1%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 3¢ask 7¢spread 4¢mid 5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

713¢

7¢14

282¢

8¢51

551¢

9¢20

11¢27

12¢20

20¢150

58¢5

59¢497

75¢200

80¢500

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	188	$193k
Numitus1994	Yes	51	−$36k
2B9S	Yes	34	$97k
Started-with-20-USD	Yes	21	$61k
timeistmoney	Yes	21	$2k
winexecutescale	Yes	16	$4k
sm-02	Yes	16	$735.70
0x7a1c…73f1	Yes	14	$5k
richyee	Yes	11	−$18k
nagibator01	Yes	8	$60.20
RogerFed	No	298	−$13k
cigarettes	No	71	−$71k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
2Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$18k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k