No won. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Fitzmaurice took +$117 on Yes from 6¢; the biggest loser gave up $59.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $584k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 87% · No 14% | $215k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $157k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $128k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $86k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $84k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $79k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $65k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Fitzmaurice | Yes | $117 |
| Frain2 | Yes | $108.70 |
| Fosterley | Yes | $40.60 |
| 0x2121… | No | $24.18 |
| Foxcroft | Yes | $20.20 |
| Bayliss | No | $15 |
| jonatasmend | No | $13.60 |
| Allder | No | $11.62 |
| 0x61f2… | No | $9.52 |
| Fitzgeorge | No | $9.40 |
| 0x7ed1… | No | $9.28 |
| TheOne777 | No | $5.85 |
31 wallets held a position at the close. The 20 biggest winners took $403; the 11 biggest losers gave up $267. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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