No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $44k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $14.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 26% | $3.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 78% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.6M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.1M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 67% · David Jolly (D) 35% | $905k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xe4c1… | No | $919.39 |
| mrworldwide | Yes | $297.00 |
| shiifoo | No | $280.71 |
| ghoan | No | $177.05 |
| Mysaria | No | $155.54 |
| estoicc | No | $81.23 |
| Noonoo123 | No | $58.05 |
| user6789 | No | $16.47 |
| Hot-Skull | Yes | $12.86 |
| 0x08ef… | No | $9.80 |
| runechiters | No | $9.49 |
| soliton137 | No | $8.03 |
74 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 45 biggest losers gave up $2.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.