Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $97k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
fauxios took +$676 on Yes from 47¢; the biggest loser gave up $311.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 2% | $41k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 4% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 44% · November 11 24% | $8k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 12 36% · No release by November 30 9% · November 13 1% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| fauxios | Yes | $675.95 |
| ghoan | Yes | $394.81 |
| peterfromfamilyguy | Yes | $98.13 |
| Generator | Yes | $93.99 |
| Attack-Titan | Yes | $63.67 |
| 0x28b2… | Yes | $50.19 |
| Chrome | Yes | $27.80 |
| 6-6 | Yes | $16.55 |
| 0xbada… | Yes | $6.54 |
| hithitfar | Yes | $5.44 |
| efghvcdbjkpqwo | Yes | $5.07 |
| letapir | Yes | $3.85 |
109 wallets held a position at the close. The 28 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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