No won. Volume $63k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
sqaolkytrpo took +$184 on No from 82¢; the biggest loser gave up $545.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 2% | $41k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 4% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 44% · November 11 24% | $8k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 12 36% · No release by November 30 9% · November 13 1% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| sqaolkytrpo | No | $184.22 |
| Miracle007 | No | $183.88 |
| DREAMBIG. | No | $142.20 |
| coastalgusts | No | $81.49 |
| jony06 | No | $65.39 |
| Txxx24 | No | $65 |
| Oldfarm | No | $64.33 |
| Bigsomething | No | $63.11 |
| GambleFroth | No | $61.43 |
| EtoCohen | No | $50.16 |
| Aussxx | No | $35.27 |
| 0x3d90… | No | $34.56 |
199 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.3k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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