No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). Volume $3.1M, liquidity $134k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $599k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $249k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $201k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $198k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $158k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $154k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yelowyolo | Yes | 64k |
| 0xe640…1291 | Yes | 43k |
| 0xf692…554c | Yes | 31k |
| Cescoli | Yes | 21k |
| 11122 | Yes | 20k |
| Kraken12 | Yes | 15k |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 12k |
| tsihkodiives | Yes | 11k |
| ImJustKen | Yes | 11k |
| 0xnito | Yes | 10k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 379k |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 387 |
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