No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 ranked wallets bought Yes at 12¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 12 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $496k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $336k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $325k |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $203k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 35% · No 65% | $131k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $101k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $97k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| troim | Yes | 3k |
| brucewayne1000 | Yes | 2k |
| Leon8899 | Yes | 1k |
| frenswillmakeit | Yes | 712 |
| 0x9422…cfee | Yes | 682 |
| itrusty | Yes | 682 |
| 0x8a9d…0281 | Yes | 635 |
| 0xee6712 | Yes | 485 |
| 0x26f1…d56b | Yes | 418 |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse | Yes | 255 |
| 0x705f…e827 | No | 50 |
| Romsdds | No | 5 |
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