Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 40¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xa277… took +$174 on Yes from 80¢; the biggest loser gave up $155.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 83% · No 17% | $59k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 86% · Anthropic 12% · OpenAI 1% | $57k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 75% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 3% | $15k |
| FAA outage attributed to AI? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $11k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 19 34% · No release by November 30 15% · November 26 5% | $9k |
| Will it be confirmed that a problem with the FAA's SMART air traffic management system caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on November 13? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026? | <5 62% · 5-7 29% · 8-10 4% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xa277… | Yes | $173.51 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | $129.25 |
| 0x2132… | Yes | $64.92 |
| Carabao | Yes | $58.60 |
| recallcp | Yes | $49.60 |
| title1 | Yes | $36.38 |
| PPMT | Yes | $33.57 |
| Askeladd. | Yes | $29.38 |
| ithinkthisisgod | Yes | $27.33 |
| spxtest | Yes | $26 |
| SquasherRewards | Yes | $24.05 |
| 0x96bf… | Yes | $23.72 |
63 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $791; the 26 biggest losers gave up $534. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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